22 September 2016

NFL PICKS! Week Three

Last week: 11-5
Year to date: 21-11 (.656)

(Home team denoted in bold)

In this week's marquee matchup, Julian Edelman may have to take snaps at quarterback against the Texans. (Jim Rogash/Getty)
Thursday, September 22

Houston (2-0) 21, New England (2-0) 20
If Bill Belichick can actually pull off the 4-0 start sans Brady and with a slew of injuries, he deserves to be put in the Hall of Fame next August. Screw the five-year waiting period or having to be retired.

Sunday, September 25

Arizona (1-1) 31, Buffalo (0-2) 17
After their defense gave up 37 points to the Jets, the Bills immediately fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman. Go figure.

Tennessee (1-1) 27, Oakland (1-1) 26
The Titans showed some testicular fortitude in a come-from-behind road win against Detroit. Now they return home to face an Oakland squad whose defense has given up 69 points in its first two games. This game could swing either way, but the momentum is currently on Tennessee's side.

Giants (2-0) 30, Washington (0-2) 17
The Giants haven't looked impressive, but they have looked like a team that does what it takes to win. Washington hasn't looked awful, but found a way to lose at home against the Cowboys last week. My preseason outlook for the NFC East has been turned on its head.

Miami (0-2) 33, Cleveland (0-2) 19
Two things are for sure: One of these teams will get its first win of the season Sunday, and the Browns lost in the most Browns-esque way last week. Up 20-2 after the first quarter, Cleveland was outscored 23-0 the rest of the way. Miami may be the only AFC East team to win this week.

Baltimore (2-0) 27, Jacksonville (0-2) 16
Just about everything I said about the Jags last week ended up being unfounded. Jacksonville came out flat against a Chargers team I'm still not sold on. Gus Bradley may be looking for work by year's end.

Green Bay (1-1) 30, Detroit (1-1) 24
The Packers and Lions may end up fighting for second place in the NFC North, because Minnesota's defense is scary good. Green Bay, still searching for their rhythm, should be able to beat Detroit anyway.

Denver (2-0) 26, Cincinnati (1-1) 23
This matchup would be sexier if Cincy had beaten the Steelers last week, but a 2-0 Bengals team still couldn't beat the Broncos. Fun stat: If Von Miller continues at current pace, he'll finish the season with 32.0 sacks (the single-season record is 22.5).

Carolina (1-1) 31, Minnesota (2-0) 23
I have next to no confidence in this pick; if Minnesota does end up winning, this is the kind of early-season test that could propel the Vikings into an incredibly dominating season.

Tampa Bay (1-1) 24, Los Angeles (1-1) 19
The Los Angeles Rams are still looking for their first touchdown since 1994. The last team to go the first three games of a season without scoring a touchdown were the historically awful 1976 Buccaneers.

Seattle (1-1) 26, San Francisco (1-1) 19
The Seahawks have looked decidedly un-Seahawk-ish so far this year. The Niners are still an unknown in 2016. This is another game that could go either way.

Kansas City (1-1) 27, Jets (1-1) 26
If the Jets secondary can't fix its issues quickly, Alex Smith could have a huge passing day (which, I might add, has happened three times in Smith's 12-year career).

San Diego (1-1) 35, Indianapolis (0-2) 29
The talking heads are trying to pin all the blame for the Colts' early struggles on Andrew Luck, but even Tom Brady would go .500 at best on a team giving up a league-high 36.5 points per game.

Pittsburgh (2-0) 24, Philadelphia (2-0) 23
One of the great stories of the first eighth of the season has been FCS man Carson Wentz starting his Eagles career 2-0. He should feel no shame if his first loss comes by less than one score to a team that many are touting has Super Bowl potential.

Dallas (1-1) 31, Chicago (0-2) 17
John Fox's coaching days might be numbered. The Bears have been outplayed throughout the early part of the season. Dak Prescott will be claiming his second NFL win come Sunday night.

Monday, September 26
New Orleans (0-2) 30, Atlanta (1-1) 28
Emotions will be running high in New Orleans for Monday Night Football. Should the Saints defense keep the score from doing just that, it will be a happy night for the home crowd.

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