22 November 2016

NFL PICKS! Week 12

Last week: 12-2
Year to date: 96-65 (.596)

(Home teams denoted in bold.)

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks are playing lights-out football in November. They take on Tampa Bay Sunday. (Dean Rutz/The Seattle Times)
Thursday, November 24 - Thanksgiving

Minnesota (6-4) 21, Detroit (6-4) 20
The Vikings are unbeatable when their defense plays at the level it did against Arizona. When their defense puts on an average performance or worse, the Vikings can't expect Sam Bradford to pick up that slack.

Dallas (9-1) 26, Washington (6-3-1) 26
Give Tony Romo credit, he's saying exactly what he needs to say during the #Dakstreak (is that a hashtag yet? If not, it is now). But you know it's going to kill him to have to sit on the bench during the Cowboys' Thanksgiving Day game, given Romo's propensity for big-time Thanksgiving performances.

Pittsburgh (5-5) 26, Indianapolis (5-5) 24
In the Thanksgiving nightcap, two teams who are struggling to find a winning routine will have a playoff mentality going into gameplay. Whichever team wins this game may find the boost it needs to rise to a division crown in December.

Sunday, November 27

New Orleans (4-6) 23, Los Angeles (4-6) 21
The Saints nearly came back in Charlotte last week. The Rams blew a 10-point lead at home with Snoop Dogg in the house. Mentioning Snoop Dogg serves absolutely no purpose, but the Saints will win in the Superdizzle on Sunday.

Tennessee (5-6) 24, Chicago (2-8) 20
The Titans are playing lights-out offense, with Marcus Mariota, DeMarco Murray and Delanie Walker all putting up Pro Bowl-caliber numbers (to say nothing of the vastly improved offensive line). They should roll over the Bears at Soldier Field.

Atlanta (6-4) 26, Arizona (4-5-1) 24
The Falcons' offensive attack has slowed ever so slightly, but not enough to affect the pummelling they should be able to put on an underperforming Cardinal squad.

Giants (7-3) 24, Cleveland (0-11) 19
This might be Cleveland's one win. The Giants are playing underratedly well, so a slip-up against the worst team in the league should not be out of the question. I'm still picking New York and its All-Pro caliber defensive line, though.

San Diego (4-6) 26, Houston (6-4) 23
Here's your weekly reminder that the Chargers are still outscoring their opponents despite their losing record. Also, a Texans loss would make the AFC South race still look way closer than it should be.

Buffalo (5-5) 26, Jacksonville (2-8) 20
If the Bills are going to end their playoff drought this year, they are going to have to play near-perfect football the rest of the way. The Jaguars are a good doormat to start from.

Baltimore (5-5) 21, Cincinnati (3-6-1) 20
Could Marv Lewis be on the hot seat? Sure, he's en route to just his fourth losing season in 14 years coaching the Bengals, but the last time the Bengals had a losing record they hadn't come off a streak of five straight first-round playoff exits. His contract is up after this year as well.

Miami (6-4) 26, San Francisco (1-9) 21
Don't look now, but Miami is on a five-game winning streak. I say don't look because if you did, you'd see the Dolphins haven't played a team that is currently better than .500 since a week two loss at New England. They should extend it to six straight against the league's second-worst team.

Seattle (7-2-1) 24, Tampa Bay (5-5) 20
The Bucs may still sneak into the playoff picture, but Seattle is already playing postseason-quality football just past the mid-season point. Depending on the trajectory of each team, the next time they play each other could be a lot more meaningful - and this is far from a meaningless game.

New England (8-2) 26, Jets (3-7) 17
Another Sunday, another Patriots win in the AFC East. You think eventually they'll get tired of dominating this division, right?

Oakland (8-2) 26, Carolina (4-6) 24
As well as the Pats have been playing, Oakland currently holds the tiebreaker for first place in the entire American Conference. Wouldn't it be fun if the AFC Championship Game this year came down to a rematch of Tuck Rule?

Denver (7-3) 23, Kansas City (7-3) 21
Both of these teams have been playing exceptional defense. The defending champs still have the slight defensive edge, as well as home field advantage for the Sunday night showdown. Look forward to an exceptional primetime football game.

Monday, November 28

Philadelphia (5-5) 26, Green Bay (4-6) 21
It's P-A-N-I-C time in Titletown. Aaron Rodgers is still playing at around an A-minus level, but he is just about the only bright spot for a Packers team that has given up 40-plus points in two consecutive weeks, and at least 30 in five of their last six games.

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